Investing in Semiconductor Companies Amidst an Impending Chip Shortage

Written By Michael Gary Scott

Analysis by Bain & Company has forecasted a looming chip shortage as the demand for semiconductors, integral to AI infrastructure buildout, smartphones, and PCs, continues to rise. This projection, not far-fetched given the lengthy timeline for increasing chip manufacturing capacity, paves the way for potential investment opportunities. Let’s delve into three key stocks positioned to thrive in a chip-constrained environment.

The Dominance of Nvidia

Renowned for its graphic processing units (GPUs), Nvidia stands out as a leader in the semiconductor market. NVIDIA’s GPUs are instrumental in AI model training and inference within data centers, commanding an insatiable demand. With over 80% market share in the GPU space, the company’s CUDA software platform and accelerated GPU development cycles ensure it remains technologically advanced.

Artist rendering of an AI chip.

Image source: Getty Images.

A potential chip shortage would boost Nvidia’s pricing power and challenge the bearish narrative of declining demand post-initial AI infrastructure spending. Trading at a relatively low forward P/E of around 31 and a PEG below 1, Nvidia’s stock presents an attractive investment proposition.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing’s Strategic Position

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) holds the top spot as the largest semiconductor manufacturer globally. A chip shortage would underscore TSMC’s integral role, with its foundries likely operating at maximum capacity. The high fixed costs of semiconductor manufacturing necessitate robust demand to maintain margins, giving TSMC enhanced pricing power.

TSMC’s expansion efforts, including new fabs in various countries and initiatives to shrink chip sizes, position it to cater to heightened chip demand. With major clients like Apple, Nvidia, and AMD, TSMC is primed to benefit from ongoing AI infrastructure investments and hardware upgrades.

ASML’s Influence in Semiconductor Equipment

As the go-to provider of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, Netherlands-based ASML plays a pivotal role in addressing capacity constraints that may arise from a chip shortage. Semiconductor equipment manufacturing, though cyclical, sees ASML at the forefront with recent advancements in extreme ultraviolet lithography systems.

With industry demand expected to surge, especially with AI-driven hardware enhancements, ASML’s innovative technologies place it in a favorable position to capitalize on the rising need for semiconductor manufacturing equipment.







The Rise of ASML: A Chipmaker’s Journey

The Rise of ASML: A Chipmaker’s Journey

The Golden Era of Chip Shortages

In the tumultuous landscape of semiconductor manufacturing, where the ebb and flow of chip shortages often dictate the market, ASML emerges as a steadfast lighthouse guiding investors through the tempest. The year 2025 heralds a wave of unprecedented demand for its cutting-edge equipment, a demand so potent that any ripple in the chip supply chain may only serve to swell ASML’s fortunes.

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Nvidia and TSMC: Peers in Prosperity

Like illustrious companions Nvidia and TSMC, ASML boasts an alluring valuation, an irresistible siren call to investors seeking the next big wave in tech stocks. By the year 2025, analysts project a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 26 and a tantalizing PEG ratio of 0.8, placing ASML firmly in the pantheon of promising investments.

Unveiling the Investing Conundrum

Before diving headlong into the enticing waters of Nvidia stock, the prudent investor must navigate the treacherous reefs of conflicting advice. The venerable analysts at the Motley Fool Stock Advisor, renowned for their market acumen, unveil a captivating revelation: Nvidia, while a titan in its own right, did not make the coveted list of the top 10 stocks poised for stellar returns.

Consider a pivotal moment in the past when Nvidia graced the list on April 15, 2005. A mere $1,000 invested then would have bloomed into an astonishing $716,988, an enviable testament to the power of strategic investing.*

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Geoffrey Seiler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends ASML, Advanced Micro Devices, Apple, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.