Prediction: Rivian Stock Is a Buy Before 2027

Written By Michael Gary Scott

Key Points

While the stock is very expensive, I’m a big fan of Tesla as a business. Why? Because it has a dominant advantage when it comes to investing in artificial intelligence (AI).

Autonomous driving technology, at least as far as consumers are concerned, hasn’t lived up to the hype thus far. But according to numerous experts, artificial intelligence is rapidly supercharging self-driving technologies.

Will AI create the world’s first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an “Indispensable Monopoly” providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »

With billions already invested and billions more promised for additional innovation, few EV stocks will be able to match the scale or pace of Tesla’s autonomy ambitions. Big tech firms, with their massive budgets and world-class talent pools, are arguably Tesla’s biggest competitors long term.

But if I had to pick a pure-play EV stock to rival Tesla over the coming years, it would have to be Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN). And there’s one obvious reason why.

Rivian has the best chance to replicate Tesla’s success

Tesla arguably has the lead when it comes to autonomous driving for two reasons. First, it invested in AI earlier than much of the competition. Second, it controls its own means of production. That gives it a rapid ability to innovate, plus millions of real-world miles driven by real-world customers — critical data for improving its models.

Big tech firms like Alphabet, the parent company of Google, still rely on third-party suppliers to produce the vehicles that power its Waymo self-driving taxi service. Meanwhile, other pure-play EV stocks like Lucid Group don’t have any cheap vehicles in its lineup, severely limiting how many real-world miles its customers generate.

Tesla EV charging.

Image source: Getty Images

Right now, Rivian has one of these advantages under its belt. It also invested in AI early. Leadership expects its AI stack to become very vertically integrated, going so far as to produce its own chips.

And this year, the company expects to start shipments of its first vehicle priced under $50,000. That will give it access to tens of millions of new customers, all of whom have the potential to generate meaningful data for the company’s AI models.

See also  Analysis: The Rise of Infrastructure Stocks in America Reviewing the Close of the Third Quarter 2024

As the pages turn on the Third Quarter of 2024 in the annals of U.S. equity markets, stalwart as ever, they reveal little change. While investors weathered some turbulence, the bulls, with unwavering determination, notched yet another win as the revered S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) ascended for the fourth consecutive month.

Despite burgeoning global tensions in the Middle East and Europe, a seismic jobs revision, and apprehension surrounding the “Yen Carry Trade,” the S&P 500 defied the odds, scaling the wall of worry to culminate the quarter with an almost 5% incline. Liquidity and the all-encompassing Federal Reserve, as often observed, have been the primary forces propelling stocks forward, setting the stage for the forthcoming Q4 and its accompanying earnings symphony.

Unveiling Industry Insights The Unyielding Ascendancy of Artificial Intelligence Stocks

A momentary dip in margins at the revered Nvidia (NVDA) and a stormy short report aimed at the AI behemoth Super Micro Computer (SMCI) painted a picture of a slackening AI revolution. Nonetheless, the standout earnings performance by database magnate Oracle (ORCL) stood as a bulwark against these concerns. Besides, a titanic revelation dawned as CEO Larry Ellison and the visionary Elon Musk jointly implored Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang for an upsurge in GPUs.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR), the architect behind data analytics platforms that empower governments and organizations to decipher vast datasets using AI, emerged as a victor, boasting a remarkable 44.89% swell in Q3. PLTR's surge was steered by an upsurge in quarterly earnings (+80% year-over-year) and its esteemed inclusion in the S&P 500 Index.

The Empowering Role of Utilities Stocks in the AI Evolution

History teaches us that the surefire way to harvest colossal profits often hinges on vending the “picks and shovels.” In the intensifying quest for AI mastery, tech behemoths are injecting billions into energy-intensive data centers essential for AI model training. Utility stocks emerged as the prime beneficiaries in Q3. Constellation Energy (CEG) rocketed by nearly 30% for the quarter subsequent to Microsoft's (MSFT) groundbreaking accord to resuscitate “Three Mile Island.”

Space Stocks Soar to New Heights

Once deemed a whimsical dream due to the arduous journey to space and exorbitant costs entwined with the venture, the spirited surge in space stocks during Q3 presents a glimmer of hope that space could metamorphose into a burgeoning trend. Intuitive Machines (LUNR) catapulted into orbit, witnessing a stellar 150% leap for the quarter after clinching a monumental nearly $5 billion pact with NASA. Concurrently, Rocket Lab (RKLB) more than doubled its standing post the successful launch and deployment of 5 satellites into low earth orbit, cementing its position as a pioneer in launch services and space systems.

The China Stimulus: Igniting an Epic Short Squeeze

After years of stagnation, Chinese equities ignited, carving the narrative at the quarter's close. The scintillating rally ignited from the fervent stimulus agenda adopted by the Chinese government, encompassing rate slashes and bolstering the ailing real estate segment. Moreover, the amalgamation of fiscal stimulus and soaring short interest kindled a blistering short squeeze in Chinese ADRs like Futu Holdings (FUTU) and JD.com (JD).

In Conclusion

The enduring bull market persisted marvelously through Q3 2024, with sectors like space, AI, and China radiating with unparalleled vigor and promise. Unprecedented Boom in Infrastructure Stocks on the Horizon

An imminent surge is on the cusp of reshaping the dilapidated U.S. infrastructure, a pursuit that is not only bipartisan but also urgent and inexorable. Trillions are poised to be disbursed, heralding a time when fortunes will be minted as this transformation unfolds.

Unveiling Growth Opportunities in the Infrastructure Sector Unveiling Growth Opportunities in the Infrastructure Sector

When it comes to investing in EV stocks, investors should target companies with a visible path toward dominating in AI. That means finding companies with clear AI investment strategies alongside the financing necessary to execute on these visions.

Additionally, look for companies that can control their own supply chain, with low-priced vehicles that can add millions of miles of real-world data for model training. Rivian may be far behind Tesla when it comes to its overall AI capabilities, but it’s quickly putting the right pieces together to compete long term.

Should you buy stock in Rivian Automotive right now?

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Ryan Vanzo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.