Nvidia’s Free Cash Flow Potential at $100B Positions It for AI-Driven Growth Initiatives

Written By Michael Gary Scott

Nvidia Corp.’s NVDA strategic trajectory, fueled by robust free cash flow (FCF) and an evolving approach to recurring revenue, positioned it for substantial growth and market revaluation in the foreseeable future. The stock is a top performer amid the “Magnificient 7,” returning 245% in 2023.

The Nvidia Analyst: BofA Securities analyst Vivek Arya maintained a Buy rating on Nvidia stock with a price target of $700.

Nvidia’s Financial Potential: BofA Securities analyst Vivek Arya sees Nvidia’s $100 billion in potential free cash flow over CY24/CY25E as a growth enabler for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The company’s shift toward a more recurring revenue-oriented profile is seen as pivotal, with potential acquisitions or partnerships key to strengthening its revenue sources. Nvidia’s past bid for Arm Holdings underscores its intent for software/IP assets.

Nvidia’s successful acquisition of Mellanox, which resulted in a fivefold increase in annualized revenue to $10 billion, highlights its strategic investment capabilities. The company’s foray into storage complements its compute and networking strengths, positioning it as a comprehensive AI systems vendor.

While Nvidia might not become a specialized AI cloud service provider due to the fiercely competitive landscape, it is invested in alternative GPU-focused CSP to broaden its reach.

With only a modest percentage of revenue coming from software/subscriptions, strategic additions to its AI enterprise suite through M&A or enhanced partnerships could significantly boost recurring revenue in 2024.

Anticipated catalysts, such as the CES and GTC tradeshows, hold the potential to bolster stock movement, potentially breaking Nvidia out of its recent trading range.

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Despite being among the largest U.S. stocks, Nvidia trades at a discount on various metrics compared to its peers, presenting an enticing investment opportunity.

NVDA Price Action: Nvidia stock was up 2.25% at $490.80 on Friday at the time of publication.

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