The Bulls’ Balancing Act: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Must Break Free from Bull Trap Levels; Russell 2000 Struggles to Keep Up

Written By Michael Gary Scott
Declan Fallon

A Mixed Bag of Gains and Pressure

Yesterday’s market performance presented a mixed bag of gains across all indices, but with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing with a ‘black’ candlestick, signaling potential vulnerability for bulls amidst additional losses.

Russell 2000 Holding Ground with Light Selling Volume

The Russell 2000 ($IWM) experienced modest losses with light selling volume below the previous day’s buying volume. Despite this, technical indicators remained positive. The prevailing scenario points towards a lingering “bull trap” outcome in the wake of recent market movements.

IWM-Daily Chart

IWM-Daily Chart

Nasdaq and S&P 500: A Battle Against ‘Bull Traps’

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are showing more resilience against potential “bull traps”. Despite initial signs, both indices managed gains that challenge and possibly override these traps. In the case of the Nasdaq, the gains triggered a return to a ‘buy’ signal for On-Balance-Volume.

Although the indices have moved past the worst of the “bull traps,” breaking above the high marks of these patterns is crucial to dispel any lingering bearish sentiments.

COMPQ-Daily Chart

COMPQ-Daily Chart

S&P 500: Balancing Act Against Bearish Signals

The S&P 500’s ‘bull trap’ is maintaining a flatlined ‘sell’ trigger in its MACD, yet overall technical indicators remain favorable. While the index may be underperforming compared to the Russell 2000 ($IWM), this performance gap seems to have stabilized.

SPX-Daily Chart

SPX-Daily Chart

Future Outlook: Bulls March On, Potential for Bullish Reversal

The indices are poised to sustain their upward trajectories, with the nascent bearishness seen in the Russell 2000 likely to be counteracted by the more optimistic setups in the Nasdaq and S&P 500.

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None of the indices are showing signs of reaching a zenith, where a dramatic upsurge in performance would be anticipated beyond the current steady 45-degree incline.