China Stocks: Why the Party is Just Starting

Written By Michael Gary Scott

When I think of the Chinese market, I think of legendary investor George Soros’s quote:

“When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire.”

Another one that comes to mind is Stan Druckenmillers liquidity quote:

“Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets.”

This chart of China’s money supply says it all.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

As billionaire investing legend David Tepper explained in a recent interview, “When China wants to boost their stock market, the government will stop at nothing.” By the way, according to his last 13F disclosure Tepper has more than 20% of his massive portfolio ($6.73 billion!) allocated to Chinese equities.

David Tepper’s Massive China Bet

David Tepper’s latest 13F disclosure shows the following bets:

Alibaba (BABA): 15.54% allocation, added 18.43%

PDD Holdings (PDD): 8.04% allocation, added 1.04%

JD.com (JD): 5.61% allocation, added 43.37%

iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI): 3.13% allocation, added 13.75%

KraneShares Trust (KWEB): 2.07% allocation, added 21.53%

Baidu (BIDU): 1.99% allocation, added 7.22%

It’s worth paying attention to Tepper’s portfolio because not only does he have a massive portfolio, he bets heavy, and has the conviction to stick with them and, most importantly, be proven correct.

In a recent interview, CNBC’s Becky Quick asked how David Tepper is hedging and why he is going over his typical investment limit into Chinese stocks. Tepper’s answer shined a light onto just how bullish and confident he is on Chinese equities when he said he is “buying everything” (in reference to China). When asked about hedges he said, “I don’t care.”

China Share Buybacks Reach All-Time Highs

Share buybacks are one of the more bullish indicators for a stock. Apple (AAPL), the biggest buyer of its own stock, has proved this over the years with its staggering share price appreciation. In 2024, Chinese companies bought back a record number of shares.

Fresh Breakouts Emerge in China

While stocks like BABA have already appreciated dramatically, fresh breakouts are emerging in stocks like JD. After a nasty correction that started in October, JD is emerging from a weekly bull flag.

See also  Exploring 2 Promising Tech Stocks for Future GrowthUnleashing the Potential of Tech Stocks

The tech landscape has been abuzz with activity, propelling the Nasdaq Composite to a 13% surge since the start of the year. The allure of artificial intelligence (AI) in transforming various tech sectors has captivated investors, driving optimism for the future. Industries ranging from cloud computing to chip production, data centers, autonomous vehicles, and consumer products have all felt the reverberations of AI's disruptive force, setting the stage for prolonged growth.

The Resilience of Tech Stocks Over Time

The tech industry boasts a storied history of delivering consistent gains, making it an enticing playground for both novice and seasoned investors alike. This sector thrives on the perpetual cycle of demand for hardware and software upgrades, rarely experiencing stagnation from one year to the next.

Over the past decade, the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector index has soared by an impressive 409%, weathering the storm of the COVID-19 pandemic and market upheavals in 2022. Despite these challenges, the rise of AI and other cutting-edge technologies indicates that the tech domain remains fertile ground for prospective investors in the years ahead.

An In-Depth Look at Two Compelling Tech Stock Picks1. Advanced Micro Devices

At the forefront of chip manufacturing, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) commands a pivotal position in the tech realm. The company's chips power a myriad of devices, from custom-built PCs and laptops to cloud platforms and video game consoles. With AMD's chips nestled inside everyday gadgets, the company's pervasive influence often goes unnoticed.

In a groundbreaking move back in 2020, AMD clinched exclusive chip supply deals with industry giants Sony and Microsoft for their flagship gaming consoles, PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S, respectively. The immense success of these consoles, garnering nearly 80 million units sold collectively, underscores the profitability of AMD's strategic partnerships.

Despite its illustrious past, AMD's recent focus on expanding its footprint in the AI domain has captured industry attention. Competing head-on with Nvidia in the AI sphere, AMD has rolled out its MI300X AI GPUs, a critical component for constructing AI models. The company launched this GPU lineup in December of the previous year, with early signs indicating a promising trajectory.

In the first quarter of 2024, AMD witnessed a 2% uptick in revenue year over year, surpassing Wall Street projections by $20 million. While this growth may seem modest, the robust performance of key segments signals positive momentum. Notably, a surge in GPU sales fueled an 80% revenue spike in the data center segment, alongside an impressive 85% revenue surge in the client segment driven by heightened CPU sales.

Although AMD faces fierce competition from Nvidia as it vies for market share and looks to expand its AI PC division, the company's long-term prospects appear bright. Furthermore, AMD's price-to-earnings ratio has plummeted by 75% over the past six months, reflecting a potential uptick in stock value. Given its commanding stance in the tech industry, AMD emerges as a compelling stock option for investors eyeing 2024 and beyond.

2. Amazon

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) stands out as a premier avenue for tech investment, thanks to its diversified business model. While Amazon initially made waves through its online retail dominance, the company has diversified its portfolio significantly over the years. Alongside securing a mammoth market share in e-commerce, Amazon has emerged as a heavyweight in cloud computing through Amazon Web Services (AWS), ventured into video streaming, grocery services, satellite ventures, and now set its sights on AI technologies.

Amazon's Dominance in Tech & AI Markets Amazon's Dominance in Tech & AI Markets

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Image Source: TradingView

As the Wall Street adage goes, “The longer the base, the higher in space.”

Record Short Interest Adds Fuel to the Fire

The best cocktail for a vertical move is the combination of a technical breakout coupled with heavy short interest. Short interest in China recently notched fresh all-time highs.

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Image Source: (@subutrade)

Bottom Line

An expanding balance sheet, record share buybacks, and historically high short interest suggest that the Chinese stock market is just getting started.

Research Chief Names “Single Best Pick to Double”

From thousands of stocks, 5 Zacks experts each have chosen their favorite to skyrocket +100% or more in months to come. From those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian hand-picks one to have the most explosive upside of all.

This company targets millennial and Gen Z audiences, generating nearly $1 billion in revenue last quarter alone. A recent pullback makes now an ideal time to jump aboard. Of course, all our elite picks aren’t winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks’ Stocks Set to Double like Nano-X Imaging which shot up +129.6% in little more than 9 months.

Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners Up

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Apple Inc. (AAPL) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) : Free Stock Analysis Report

iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI): ETF Research Reports

JD.com, Inc. (JD) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) : Free Stock Analysis Report

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB): ETF Research Reports

PDD Holdings Inc. Sponsored ADR (PDD) : Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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