The AI Surge: An Analysis of the Recent Rally in Arm Holdings, Microsoft, and Broadcom Stocks The AI Surge: An Analysis of the Recent Rally in Arm Holdings, Microsoft, and Broadcom Stocks

Written By Michael Gary Scott

The race to embrace artificial intelligence (AI) took off in full force early last year, propelling substantial growth for companies strategically positioned to leverage this technological revolution. This surge in AI stocks has been a buoyant force in the ongoing market upswing.

Recently, some investors have exhibited nerves, questioning the sustainability of this relentless climb and searching for assurances that the AI evolution remains robust. Nvidia, often seen as the quintessential AI trailblazer, provided some key insights with its latest results.

Against this backdrop, chip designer Arm Holdings soared by 6.7%, software and cloud expert Microsoft rallied 2.3%, and AI chip specialist Broadcom climbed 2.1% as of 12:32 p.m. ET on Thursday.

Various standard sources—such as analyst upgrades, earnings outcomes, and regulatory filings—yielded no company-specific news to account for the upsurge in AI stocks. However, a single pivotal factor ignited a relief rally among these stocks.

The letters AI emblazoned on a glowing circuit board.

Image source: Getty Images

Positive AI-Driven Performance

Chip giant Nvidia unveiled its quarterly financial report post-market close yesterday, and the results were stellar by most metrics.

For the fiscal 2025 second quarter (ending July 28), Nvidia recorded revenue of $30 billion, a 122% year-over-year increase and a 15% sequential uptick. This translated into adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.68, surging 152% year-over-year and 11% sequentially. Notably, Nvidia exceeded analysts’ consensus estimates of $28.7 billion in revenue and EPS of $0.64.

However, a couple of issues may have raised investor concerns.

For the upcoming third quarter, the company projects revenue of $32.5 billion, marking an 80% year-over-year growth. While such results are typically cause for celebration, it represents a deceleration from Nvidia’s pattern of triple-digit year-over-year growth in the past five quarters.

Another closely monitored area is Nvidia’s gross margin, which stood at 75.1%—historically high but lower than the 78.4% from the prior quarter. Management attributed this dip to inventory provisions for its Blackwell processors and product mix, introducing an element of uncertainty that investors tend to react negatively to.

Setting aside these minor concerns, Nvidia’s performance offers ample confirmation that AI adoption continues at a robust pace, a positive sign for other companies influenced by the prevailing winds of AI.

Significance of the Rally

The potential transformative power of generative AI cannot be overstated. These systems streamline mundane, time-consuming tasks, elevating productivity levels significantly. Our trio of stocks is deeply entrenched in the AI realm:

  • Arm Holdings provides the cutting-edge CPU core blueprints for processors in AI systems designed by Nvidia and others.
  • Microsoft emerged early in the AI software domain, creating Copilot—an AI-driven digital assistant seamlessly integrated into its cloud and software ecosystems to streamline operations and drive cost efficiencies.
  • Broadcom produces numerous semiconductors and other technologies vital for data centers and cloud computing.
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While each of these companies brings its unique contributions to the AI landscape, some investors perceive them as integral to the broader AI revolution.

Despite recent uncertainties, these stocks maintain lofty valuations and are not for the faint-hearted. Arm Holdings, Broadcom, and Microsoft trade at 85 times, 34 times, and 32 times forward earnings, respectively. Among the trio, Microsoft and Broadcom offer relatively lower valuations, but all three command a premium commensurate with their industry standing and the opportunities stemming from AI. Investors must weigh the price they are willing to pay.

As developers are only beginning to explore the realm of AI applications, discoveries are unfolding almost daily. Investors are advised to seek out top AI stocks and brace themselves for the ride ahead.

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